Tesla (TSLA), Ford (F), and GM (GM) Face a Weaker EV Market. Who Can Protect Profits?

On September 16, 2026, Reuters published an investigation showing that Trump administration policies, chiefly the elimination of the $7,500 federal EV tax credit, have derailed a wave of American EV and battery manufacturing investment. Roughly 87% of announced EV-related investments concentrated in states Trump won in 2024. General Motors Company (NYSE:GM)’s Ultium Cells battery joint venture in Lordstown, Ohio, idled production and laid off about 480 workers. Meanwhile, Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F) scaled back its Glendale, Kentucky battery plant workforce to less than half its original planned size.

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Tesla (TSLA), Ford (F), and GM (GM) Face a Weaker EV Market. Who Can Protect Profits?
Tesla (TSLA), Ford (F), and GM (GM) Face a Weaker EV Market. Who Can Protect Profits?

Photo by Michael Fousert on Unsplash

Bull Case

Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) could capture more U.S. EV market share as legacy automakers reduce their electric-vehicle investments. Reuters identified Tesla as the only American automaker among the world’s 10 largest EV manufacturers. Ford and GM have canceled programs, reduced battery production, and redirected capital toward other powertrains. This retreat reduces the number of domestic competitors pursuing EV scale and gives Tesla a stronger position among the consumers who are choosing fully electric vehicles.

Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F) is repurposing underused EV investments rather than abandoning battery production entirely. Ford plans to hire 2,100 workers at its Glendale, Kentucky, complex to produce energy-storage batteries beginning in late 2027 and will manufacture its new Fathom electric pickup in Louisville. Ford Energy also signed a five-year agreement that allows EDF to purchase up to 20 gigawatt-hours of storage capacity. It gives the firm a commercial opportunity to recover value from facilities originally built for EV batteries.

General Motors Company (NYSE:GM) has retained enough EV products and battery capacity to benefit if demand recovers. GM still offers roughly a dozen electric models in the United States, the industry’s broadest lineup. The firm says it is advancing its EV strategy. Its Ultium joint venture restarted battery-cell production in Lordstown in August and recalled approximately 700 workers. GM is also developing lower-cost lithium-manganese-rich batteries while redirecting planned lithium-iron-phosphate production toward energy storage. This gives it multiple ways to use its battery investments.

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Bear Case

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