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Nike Sinks After China Sales Plunge, Delaying Turnaround

Nike Inc. shares fell after the company warned that sales will decline this quarter amid persistent weakness in China and at its Converse brand.

The world’s largest sportswear company expects revenue to be down in the low-single digits in the three months that started Dec. 1, a surprising turn after two straight periods of growth.

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While Nike is making progress, especially in North America and the running category, investors are eager for the company to make headway in other areas of the business that are lagging. Converse sales plunged 30% in the latest quarter, while Greater China was down 17%. Chief Executive Officer Elliott Hill characterized the company’s rebound as “in the middle innings.”

The shares fell as much as 11% on Friday in New York, the biggest intraday decline since April.

The stock had dropped 13% so far this year through Thursday’s close and is headed for its fourth consecutive annual decline. Shares of European rivals Adidas AG and Puma SE also dropped on the news, falling as much as 2.9% and 3.5% respectively on Friday.

After the earnings report, several analysts cut their price targets on Nike. That included Piper Sandler’s Anna Andreeva who said the turnaround is making progress, but it’s slower than expected with recovery in China taking more time.

On the company’s call with analysts, Hill said Nike’s recovery “won’t be a straight line, but we’re acting decisively to accelerate the lagging areas — with China at the top of that list.”

Nike reported declining store traffic in the Greater China region and struggled to sell off older inventory. The company is now focusing on Beijing and Shanghai while refining its product assortment.

WATCH: What’s going wrong at Nike?Source: Bloomberg
WATCH: What’s going wrong at Nike?Source: Bloomberg

“What we’ve done is a start, but it’s not happening at the level or the pace we need to drive wider change,” Hill said, referring to the market.

Over the past two years, China has become a deeply discount-driven market for sportswear, as consumers have curbed spending amid an economic slowdown, a property crisis and job market uncertainties. Nike faces steeper challenges than rivals such as Adidas, local giant Anta, and niche brands like Hoka, having failed to deliver standout products that capture the attention of increasingly sophisticated Chinese consumers, who now place greater value on experiences and niche performance features.

Nike has lagged China’s sportswear industry for most of this year, particularly in online channels, according to data provider Shang Zhi Zhen, which tracks online sales for major Chinese consumer categories. Once the leading brand during China’s e-commerce shopping festivals such as Singles’ Day, Nike lost its top position this year to Anta on Tmall and Camel on Douyin amid fierce price competition and weak consumer sentiment.

Nike is also looking to reset Converse, which has long relied on the Chuck Taylor sneaker to drive sales. The brand has struggled to ignite excitement elsewhere.

Related: Nike Continues to Shake Up Leadership Team Under CEO Hill

Nike emphasized that it continues to regain ground in the running category, as well as in North America.

The results were “slightly better than we had anticipated 90 days ago,” Hill said, but stressed “we’re nowhere near our potential.”

Overall revenue rose 1% to $12.4 billion in the fiscal quarter ended Nov. 30, outpacing the average of analyst estimates.

Nike has lost customers in recent years by leaning too hard on selling lifestyle sneakers instead of developing gear that appeals to athletes. In categories such as running, it has lost market share to rivals such as Hoka and On. At the same time, Nike pulled back from wholesale partners to emphasize its own sales channels.

Now, Hill is pushing executives and designers to create technologically advanced products, and quickly.

Still, the company has yet to issue longer-term guidance — a sign it’s still getting a grip on operations as it rebuilds ties with retailers and sharpens its focus on key sports and cities.

“Just as it would be unreasonable to expect a record finish time from a marathon runner who is still recuperating from the flu, so it is unreasonable to expect Nike to be producing robust numbers when it is midway through its recovery program,” said Neil Saunders, managing director of GlobalData.

–With assistance from Daniela Wei.

(Updates shares.)

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