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Five key themes investors will be watching in markets this week

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Global bond market volatility, tensions involving Iran and a packed earnings calendar are set to dominate investor attention in the coming days. Results from AI chip leader NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) will headline the corporate agenda, alongside earnings from major retailers including Walmart (NYSE:WMT) and Target (NYSE:TGT). Markets are also monitoring reports that SpaceX could release documentation tied to its long-awaited IPO later this week.

1. Bond market selloff remains a central concern

The sharp selloff across global bond markets has become one of the biggest issues facing investors at the start of the new trading week, with rising yields continuing to pressure equities.

The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury hovered near a 15-month high, while government bond yields in Europe and Asia climbed to multi-year peaks. Bond yields move inversely to prices.

Markets have become increasingly concerned that the surge in oil prices caused by the conflict involving Iran could reignite global inflation pressures. Investors are now debating whether central banks, including the Federal Reserve, may need to raise interest rates further if elevated energy prices persist.

As volatility spreads through bond markets and borrowing costs rise for households and businesses, finance ministers from G7 countries are scheduled to meet in Paris on Monday.

2. Investors continue monitoring Trump’s Iran strategy

The ongoing conflict involving Iran remains another major focus for global markets as the war approaches its 80th day.

Although a ceasefire between Washington and Tehran has now lasted longer than the initial phase of fighting that began in late February, uncertainty remains over whether a durable peace agreement can ultimately be reached.

President Donald Trump’s recent visit to China, one of the largest buyers of Iranian oil, failed to produce any agreement from Beijing to support a peace arrangement. However, Trump told Fortune magazine that Tehran has been “dying to sign” a deal.

For now, markets appear to be facing a prolonged but unstable stalemate.

Analysts at Vital Knowledge said Trump now faces a critical choice between resuming military operations or continuing efforts toward diplomatic de-escalation.

“We think the latter remains the most probable scenario, but the odds of the former have certainly risen, and media reports over the weekend suggest Trump is receiving extensive briefings from advisors about various military options,” the analysts wrote.

3. Nvidia earnings expected to test AI optimism

Despite geopolitical uncertainty, Wall Street has remained relatively resilient thanks largely to continued enthusiasm surrounding artificial intelligence.

That optimism will face a major test this week when NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) releases quarterly earnings after markets close on Wednesday.

Nvidia has become one of the most influential companies in global markets due to its dominant role supplying advanced AI chips, making its results a closely watched indicator for both the technology sector and the broader stock market.

Large technology companies continue to commit enormous sums toward AI infrastructure investment, and analysts expect Nvidia to deliver exceptionally strong results. Still, some investors have started questioning how sustainable this level of spending may be among major cloud and hyperscale operators.

4. Retail earnings may offer clues on consumer resilience

Strong corporate earnings have helped support equities despite geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty.

This week, however, several major retailers are due to report results that could provide insight into how consumers are handling inflation concerns and economic uncertainty.

Alongside Walmart (NYSE:WMT), investors will also focus on results from Target (NYSE:TGT), TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), and Home Depot (NYSE:HD).

Some market participants believe households could begin reducing spending as higher fuel prices linked to tensions involving Iran put additional pressure on consumer budgets. Consumer spending represents more than two-thirds of U.S. economic activity.

5. Markets await possible SpaceX IPO filing

Investors are also watching closely for developments surrounding the potential IPO of SpaceX.

According to media reports, Elon Musk’s space company is targeting June 12 for a possible public listing, which could become the largest IPO ever completed.

If those plans remain on schedule, the company — expected to trade under the ticker “SPCX” — may release its IPO prospectus as early as this week.

The filing would provide investors with their first detailed look at SpaceX’s financial structure, operations and ownership arrangements, making it one of the most closely anticipated documents in global equity markets.

Nvidia stock price

Walmart stock price

Target stock price

TJX stock price

Home Depot stock price

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