USD/CHF’s decline from 0.8041 resumed last week. Initial bias stays on the downside this week. Firm break of 61.8% projection of 0.8041 to 0.7774 from 0.7923 at 0.7758 will target 100% projection at 0.7656. On the upside, above 0.7808 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again first. In the bigger picture, as long as…
GBP/USD stayed in range trading below 1.3657 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral for consolidations, and further rise is expected with 1.3453 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.3657 will target 61.8% projection of 1.3158 to 1.3598 from 1.3453 at 1.3725 first. Firm break there will target a retest on…
EUR/USD stayed in range below 1.1848 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral, and further rise is expected with 1.1642 support intact. On the upside, firm break of 1.1848 will target 1.2081 high next. However, firm break of 1.1662 support will indicate the the rebound from 1.1408 has completed, and bring deeper…
Markets spent last week aggressively chasing the AI-driven equity rally while largely ignoring geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Despite renewed uncertainty over a promised peace deal, stocks surged to new records while Dollar weakened broadly on strong risk appetite. S&P 500 followed NASDAQ to fresh records, while Asia’s major technology-heavy benchmarks exploded higher as…
USD/JPY dipped to 155.01 last week but recovered since then. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the downside, break of 155.01 will resume the fall from 160.71 to 152.25 support next. On the upside, however, firm break of 157.92 will indicate that pullback from 160.71 has completed, and turn bias back to the…
USD/CAD recovered last week but upside is capped by 1.3709 resistance. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the downside, below 1.3549 will extend the fall from 1.3965 to retest 1.3480 low. Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.4791. However, sustained break of 1.3709 will confirm short term bottoming, and turn…
Equities maintain a “risk-on” rally, defying the market disconnect from elevated oil prices and rising interest rate expectations. The US market faces a pivotal week with the final Powell-led CPI report expected on Tuesday, ahead of the Fed Chair handover to Kevin Warsh on May 15. Geopolitical tensions remain high following US/Iran strikes, though a…
USD/JPY is holding near 156.83 on Friday. Despite heightened volatility in recent sessions, the yen is set to end the week broadly unchanged. Fears of intervention and Tokyo’s firm rhetoric have failed to support a sustained strengthening of the currency. Japanese authorities have stated that they are not constrained by the frequency of their interventions…
In today’s Market Outlook, let’s take a look at Forex Trading on WTI, Brent Crude Oil, the NASDAQ, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, XAUUSD, and Silver XAGUSD. As a matter of course, we watch price action on gold and silver, and they are both following similar paths. Price broke out of a downtrend, rose,…
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