US initial jobless claims edged from a revised 207K to 206K in the week ending September 5, slightly above the 205K consensus. The previous week’s reading was revised up from 206K, while the four-week moving average declined from a revised 207.5K to 206.0K. The latest reading therefore points to broadly stable layoffs rather than any…
US producer prices accelerated in August, with final-demand PPI rising from 0.1% to 0.4% m/m, matching consensus, while the annual rate reached 5.4%, slightly above the 5.3% forecast. The underlying measure excluding food, energy and trade services eased from 0.4% to 0.3% m/m, but still stood at 4.7% y/y, indicating that broader producer-price pressure remained…
Dollar is finally rallying against every major even as Yen, Aussie and Euro all carry their own hawkish domestic stories this week What’s happening: Dollar is rising against every major currency tracked on the daily Heat Map as the US 10-year Treasury yield breaks 4.9% and Brent climbs above $105, after Houthi militants seized Yemen’s…
Highlights U.S. Treasury yields have risen across the curve in 2026, with the 10-year yield climbing roughly 80 basis points from its late-February low through the first week of September. Most of the increase reflects expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep rates higher than previously anticipated and a larger premium for holding long-dated debt,…
Brent oil price surged over $3 on Thursday and hit levels close to $106, last traded on May 22 after Wednesday’s break and close above psychological $100 barrier generated strong bullish signal. Strong escalation in the Middle East which resulted in US attacks on Iranian tankers and Iran’s response targeting US military bases and ships,…
As expected, the ECB raised its key interest rate by 25 basis points, and the tone of the accompanying statement was fairly optimistic. Although the Bank referred to mounting inflationary pressures and uncertainty stemming from the conflict in the Middle East, it raised its GDP growth forecasts for next year. Inflation forecasts exceed the ECB’s…
Key takeaways ECB hike largely priced in: Markets widely expect the ECB to raise its deposit rate by 25 basis points to 2.50%. The bigger catalyst for EUR/USD is whether Christine Lagarde signals further tightening. Energy inflation has shifted the ECB outlook: Brent crude above US$100 and Eurozone inflation above 3% have revived hawkish policy…
Eurex has launched portfolio margining between FX and fixed income derivatives, in an effort to support institutional access to OTC FX liquidity. Terence Saayman The new offering is also backed by BNP Paribas and JP Morgan, who will enable FX futures execution through exchange for physical (EFP) workflows. Through this, clients will be able to offset FX…
2026.09.10 2026.09.10 Short-Term Analysis for Oil, Gold, and EURUSD for 10.09.2026 Alex Rodionovhttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-rodionov/ Welcome, my fellow traders! I have prepared a price forecast for US Crude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of the margin zones method and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I suggest entry signals for intraday traders. Gold continues to…
TL;DR: The US 10-year Treasury yield broke above 4.81% to a three-year high near 4.85%, yet the Dollar Index is sitting near support instead of rallying — a divergence that suggests markets increasingly care about whether rising yields reflect Fed tightening or term-premium and fiscal concerns instead. The US 10-year Treasury yield has just done…