GBP/JPY edged higher to 215.59 last week but retreated sharply since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Rebound from 210.43 is seen as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 216.58, and could have completed at 215.59 already. Break of 213.29 will suggest that the third leg has started and target 210.43…
USD/CAD’s rally from 1.3549 accelerated higher last week and there is no sign of topping yet. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 38.2% retracement of 1.4791 to 1.3480 at 1.3981. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications and target 61.8% retracement at 1.4290 next. On the downside, below 1.3865 minor support…
AUD/USD’s fall from 0.7277 resumed by breaking through 0.7076 last week. Initial bias is now on the downside this week for 100% projection of 0.7277 to 0.7076 from 0.7200 at 0.6999. Firm break there will target 161.8% projection at 0.6875. Near term risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.7200 resistance holds, in…
USD/CHF’s rebound from 0.7760 resumed last week and accelerated through 0.7906 resistance. The development suggests that fall from 0.8041 has completed as a correction to 0.7760. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for retesting 0.8041 first. For now, risk will stay on the upside as long as 0.7867 minor support holds, in case…
Markets ended the week in a far more defensive mood than they began it. After spending May climbing steadily on the back of AI enthusiasm, resilient economic growth, and hopes for easing geopolitical tensions, investors were suddenly forced to confront three separate risks at once. A sharp correction in technology stocks, renewed concerns that US…
GBP/USD’s late decline last week suggests rejection by 55 D EMA (now at 1.3453), which is a bearish signal. But downside is contained above 1.3300 support. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. Break of 1.3300 will target a retest on 1.3158. Firm break there will extend the whole fall from 1.3867 to 100% projection…
USD/JPY’s rise from 155.01 extended higher last week and there is not sign of topping yet. Initial bias remains on the upside for 160.71. Strong resistance is still expected from there to limit upside. Break of 159.08 will turn bias back to the downside the extend the corrective pattern from 160.71 with the third leg….
EUR/USD’s fall from 1.1848 resumed by breaking through 1.1575 last week. Initial bias is back on the downside this week for retesting 1.1408 first. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.1685 resistance holds, in case of recovery. In the bigger picture, the strong support from 38.2% retracement of 1.0176 to…
The US dollar initially rallied against the Canadian dollar on Thursday but has given back some of the strength to sit still and eventually head back towards the unchanged region. That makes sense for a multitude of reasons. The first one of course being the fact that interest rates did drop in the United States….
The Eurozone economy contracted in the first quarter of 2026. GDP fell by -0.2% qoq, reversing the 0.2% expansion recorded in the previous quarter, while annual growth slowed sharply to 0.3% yoy from 1.2% yoy. Across the broader EU, GDP declined by -0.1% qoq, with annual growth easing to 0.7% from 1.4%. The details suggest…