Markets rarely reward consensus in the way most participants expect. Right now, a large portion of traders are anticipating a pullback. But anticipation alone does not translate into execution. In reality, most participants will enter too early, hesitate when the opportunity appears, or miss the move entirely. This is not randomness—it is the result of…
Q2 does not look like a straightforward directional quarter for forex. The market keeps trying to price de-escalation, but oil, inflation and policy expectations are still tied to an unstable geopolitical backdrop. That leaves the quarter feeling reactive rather than settled. The better opportunities are not broad one-way trades, but relative-value trades where policy, growth…
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GBP/JPY edged higher last week but failed to break through 213.28 resistance and retreated. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, firm break of 213.28 will resume the rise from 207.20 to retest 214.98 high. However, break of 210.77 will bring deeper fall back to 209.15 support and below. In the bigger…
AUD/USD’s extended decline last week should confirm medium term topping at 0.7187. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for 38.2% retracement of 0.5913 to 0.7187 at 0.6700. On the upside, above 0.6956 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.7187 resistance holds,…
USD/CHF’s rally from 0.7603 resumed last week by breaking through 0.7957. Initial bias stays on the upside for 38.2% retracement of 0.9200 to 0.7603 at 0.8213. For now, further rally is expected as long as 0.7833 support holds, in case of retreat. In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at…
USD/JPY’s rally from 152.25 resumed by breaking through 159.88 resistance last week. Initial bias remains on the upside and further rise should be seen to retest 161.94 high next. On the downside, below 159.35 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But near term outlook will stay bullish as long as 157.49 support holds,…
EUR/USD remains bounded in consolidations above 1.1408 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. Further decline is expected with 1.1666 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2081 to 1.1408 at 1.1665) intact. On the downside, firm break of 1.1408 will resume the fall from 1.2081 to 38.2% retracement of 1.0176…
EUR/GBP stayed in range trading above 0.8610 last week. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, sustained break above 55 D EMA (now at 0.8680) will confirm short term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound back to 0.8788 resistance. However, rejection by 55 D EMA will set up another fall through 0.8611 to…
EUR/JPY’s rebound from 182.02 extended higher last week but retreated just ahead of 184.75 resistance. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 184.75 will resume the rise from 180.78 to retest 186.86 high. On the downside, however, below 183.17 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 182.02…