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Gates’ foundation sold all of its Microsoft shares. Bill Ackman is loading up on the stock. What is Wall Street missing?

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The Gates Foundation Trust, founded by Bill Gates and Melinda French Gates, recently disclosed that it sold its final 7.7 million shares of Microsoft during the first quarter of 2026 — a roughly $3.2 billion exit that ends a decades-long position in the company Gates cofounded (1).

A very different story had already broken on the morning of the disclosure. Hours before the Gates filing hit the SEC on May 15, Bill Ackman, founder and CEO of Pershing Square Capital Management, used a lengthy X post to announce a brand-new Microsoft position (2). Pershing’s 13F filing, filed later that evening, showed roughly 5.65 million shares, worth around $2.09 billion, on the books at quarter-end (3).

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The following morning, Ackman explained he used Pershing’s holdings of Alphabet, the parent company of Google, to pay for it. “To be clear, our sale of $GOOG was not a bet against the company,” he wrote on X (4). “We are very bullish long term on Alphabet. But at current valuations and in light of our finite capital base, we used $GOOG as a source of funds for $MSFT.”

Why is Gates selling?

The 7.7 million-share sale is the final tranche of a multi-year sale by the Gates Foundation Trust. The trust held roughly 28.5 million Microsoft shares at the end of the first quarter of 2025, trimmed to 7.7 million by year-end and zeroed out this quarter.

This comes after Gates announced in May 2025 that the foundation will sunset operations in 2045 and spend roughly $200 billion on charitable work over the next 20 years (5).

“There are too many urgent problems to solve for me to hold onto resources that could be used to help people,” he wrote. “That is why I have decided to give my money back to society much faster than I had originally planned.”

A foundation winding down its endowment doesn’t have a choice but to sell — it has to fund the giveaway.

Read More: Here’s the average income of Americans by age in 2026. Are you falling behind?

Why is Ackman bullish on Microsoft?

Pershing started stockpiling Microsoft in February, right after the company’s fiscal Q2 2026 earnings sent the stock tumbling (2). It kept buying through a stretch where Microsoft was down sharply on the year and well off its July 2025 record high.

Two worries had spooked the market.

First, Copilot adoption. Microsoft has converted only about 15 million of its 450 million paid Microsoft 365 commercial seats into paying Copilot users. Independent research showed Copilot’s market share fell from 18.8% in July 2025 to 11.5% by January 2026 (6). That decline prompted CEO Satya Nadella to reorganize the AI division in March and sideline the AI executive he paid $650 million to recruit (7).

Second, the AI capex bill. Microsoft is spending $190 billion on capital expenditure in 2026. Some investors think the math doesn’t work.

Ackman thinks they’re wrong on the capex part. Azure revenue grew 39% in constant currency last quarter. Microsoft’s AI business hit a $37 billion annualized run rate, up 123% year-over-year (8). Ackman called the $190 billion “growth capex that should drive future revenue generation” rather than a margin threat (2).

He also thinks the market is undervaluing the core franchise. Microsoft 365 and Azure together throw off roughly 70% of Microsoft’s overall profits. M365 monthly ARPU sits around $20 — less than half what customers would pay for the underlying applications individually. Investors, he wrote, “underestimate the resilience of the M365 franchise given its deeply embedded role across enterprises and highly attractive price-value proposition (2).”

Then there’s the OpenAI stake. Microsoft owns roughly 27% of OpenAI economically. At the most recent funding round, that’s about $200 billion — or 7% of Microsoft’s market cap. Ackman says the share price doesn’t reflect any of that.

Pershing got in at roughly 21 times forward earnings. Ackman called that “broadly in line with the market multiple and well below Microsoft’s trading average over the last few years.”

The takeaway for investors: Not a rebalance

The Google side of the rotation is where the conviction shows.

Pershing held more than 6.1 million Alphabet Inc. Class C shares at the end of 2025. By the close of the first quarter of 2026, that was down to about 312,000, or a 95% cut, worth roughly $1.64 billion at quarter-end pricing. Class A holdings fell from around 678,000 shares to 32,000 over the same stretch. The remaining position was fully liquidated in the second quarter, according to a person familiar with the portfolio, as cited by Reuters (9).

Pershing had owned Google for three years at an average cost of about $94 a share. Class C was near $392 the Friday the 13F dropped. That’s roughly four times Ackman’s cost basis.

He rolled the proceeds straight into Microsoft, then went on X the following morning to make it clear that the sale wasn’t a call on Google’s prospects.

To summarize, Ackman zeroed out a three-year, multibillion-dollar Google position, picked up Microsoft at 21x forward earnings and bet that the market has mispriced the enterprise franchise against its AI uncertainty. The Gates sale, while being reported on social media like a bear signal, is its own thing — a foundation funding $200 billion in giveaways. Selling Microsoft because of that would be misguided.

Ackman’s trade is the one with a thesis behind it: Copilot’s paid base is running at about 3% of its addressable seats. That gap is what he’s buying.

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Bill Ackman has spent nearly 34 years navigating the market’s ups and downs. He cofounded his first investment firm, Gotham Partners, back in 1992 before founding Pershing Square Capital Management in 2004 with just $54 million. Today, Pershing oversees billions in assets (10).

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— With files from Rudro Chakrabarti

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Article sources

We rely only on vetted sources and credible third-party reporting. For details, see our editorial ethics and guidelines.

Securities and Exchange Commission (1),(3); @BillAckman (2),(4); Gates Foundation (5); Recon Analytics (6); Microsoft (7),(8); Reuters (9); Forbes (10)

This article provides information only and should not be construed as advice. It is provided without warranty of any kind.

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