Arsenal (10-1-3) and Aston Villa (8-3-3) will face off on Saturday at 7:30 a.m. EST at Villa Park in Birmingham, England.
Arsenal is favored at a -111 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (+110o / -138u) goals.
Let’s get into my Arsenal vs. Aston Villa prediction.
Arsenal vs. Aston Villa Prediction
Pick: Arsenal to Win
My Arsenal vs. Aston Villa best bet is on the Gunners moneyline.
Arsenal vs. Aston Villa Odds
Arsenal vs. Aston Villa Pick, Prediction
Pick: Arsenal to Win (-111)
After one of the worst starts to a season, Aston Villa turned things around quickly. The Villans surprisingly sit in third place, with only a point separating them from City in second.
The Villans are riding high on a six-game winning streak, but confronting Arsenal presents a significantly more formidable challenge. Mikel Arteta’s Gunners remain unbeaten in their last 18 matches and enter this encounter as the favorites.
With an impressive defensive record, Arsenal boasts the best statistics among the top five European leagues, conceding just 0.5 goals per game. They lead the way, alongside Roma and Como, having allowed only seven goals, the fewest across the top five divisions.
Meanwhile, Aston Villa also relies on its defense, ranking third in the Premier League for goals conceded. However, its limited offensive output could cost them points here.
In other words, Arsenal boasts a better defensive and offensive line than its opposition. As a result, we are backing the visitors to edge past Villa and secure another three points.
While Aston Villa’s performances have been commendable, Arsenal has the edge over Unai Emery’s side. The Gunners secured a 2-0 victory over the Villans last season and will aim to repeat the feat to maintain their substantial lead over title contenders.
Arsenal vs. Aston Villa Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Arsenal | Draw | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 52.9% | 26.2% | 20.9% |
Projected Total Goals
| Arsenal | Total Goals | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 1.39 | 2.18 | 0.79 |
Arsenal vs. Aston Villa Betting Analysis
The standout game of the Premier League’s 15th matchday features third-placed Aston Villa taking on leaders Arsenal.
The Gunners, undefeated since 31 August, arrive at Villa Park for Saturday’s kickoff, having comfortably dispatched Brentford 2-0 in midweek.
Unai Emery’s side, however, is also in excellent form. Following their 4-3 win at Brighton on Wednesday evening, the Villains have notched up four consecutive league victories and six in total when including the Europa League.
A success for Aston Villa would narrow the gap at the top, bringing it within three points of Arsenal and reigniting the Premier League title race.
Despite this, bookmakers continue to favor Mikel Arteta’s team, especially considering their recent performances against Tottenham (4-1) and Chelsea (1-1 away).
As such, the latest Aston Villa vs Arsenal odds give the visitors an implied probability of victory exceeding 52%.
Arsenal vs. Aston Villa Projected Starting Lineups
Arsenal
Raya; White, Timber, Hincapie, Calafiori; Odegaard, Zubimendi, Merino; Saka, Gyokeres, Eze.
Aston Villa
Bizot; Cash, Konsa, Torres, Digne; Kamara, Tielemans; Buendia, McGinn, Rogers; Watkins.
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