Need to know
YouGov’s latest 2026 local election polling suggests a surge in support for Reform UK across the West Midlands, including in Birmingham, and a boost for the Greens
The West Midlands electoral map predicted by YouGov
Need to know: Reform UK surges in West Midlands polls as Labour holds ground in Birmingham
- New YouGov polling shows Reform UK is set to dominate the 2026 West Midlands local elections, though Labour avoids complete wipeout in Birmingham.
- The latest survey reveals Reform UK leading across most West Midlands councils, from Labour strongholds to Conservative areas.
- In Birmingham, Labour and Reform UK are tied at 21% each, preventing the total collapse previously predicted for the party.
- Reform UK is projected to win 28% in Sandwell and 31% in Solihull, marking significant gains in traditionally safe Labour and Conservative areas respectively.
- The results would be historic for Labour, which has controlled Birmingham for years and previously held all 72 Sandwell councillors.
- Both Birmingham and Sandwell face no-overall-control scenarios under these projections, representing major victories for Nigel Farage’s party.
- The Greens are also set for substantial gains, polling 19% in Birmingham and between 14-21% elsewhere across the region.
- READ THE FULL STORY: YouGov poll predicts Reform UK domination in West Midlands – and a chink of light for Labour
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