Item 1 of 2 Futures-options traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange’s NYSE American (AMEX) in New York City, U.S., January 6, 2026. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid
Jan 13 (Reuters) – Financial stocks pulled Wall Street indexes lower after warnings about potential changes to lending policy on Tuesday, and gold hit fresh record highs as U.S. inflation data strengthened prospects for rate cuts this year, while unrest in Iran outweighed worries about a supply glut and lifted oil prices.
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“These readings reinforce the notion that inflation is moderating, and the Fed may be able to cut rates this year,” said Gene Goldman, chief investment officer at Cetera Investment Management in El Segundo, California.
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Ahead of inflation data, currency traders appeared to have been prepared for a larger increase in prices, said Eric Theoret, currency strategist at Scotiabank in Toronto, noting risk-sensitive currencies, including the Australian dollar, rallied after the report.
The dollar index , which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, rose 0.3% to 99.17, with the euro down 0.21% at $1.1643.
The dollar had risen on Friday after data showed jobs growth in December, reinforcing expectations the U.S. central bank will wait until after its January policy meeting to cut rates further.
SAFE HAVEN
Markets have started 2026 with a formidable lineup of geopolitical flashpoints, including Iran, Greenland and Venezuela, adding to concern about record-high equity valuations on benchmarks from New York to London, Tokyo and Frankfurt.
A combination of reinforced bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts and the appeal of a safe haven from the barrage of geopolitical and economic uncertainties propelled gold to the latest in a series of record highs, while silver also hit a fresh peak.
Spot gold steadied at $4,591.16 an ounce, having hit $4,634.33 earlier in the session.
Trump’s pursuit of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is continuing to raise alarm, with three former Fed chairs signing a statement on Monday decrying the administration’s assault on the central bank’s independence. They warned this is more typical in “emerging economies with weak institutions” and can have highly negative consequences for inflation.
Oil prices scaled multi-week highs on worries that Iran’s exports could decline, as the OPEC member, which is under sanctions, cracks down on anti-government demonstrations. Those concerns eclipsed the prospect of more supply coming from Venezuela after U.S. intervention to oust President Nicolas Maduro. Worries over a supply glut this year have taken a back seat for now, said Rystad analyst Janiv Shah.
U.S. crude climbed 2.77% or $1.65 to settle at $61.15 a barrel. Brent settled at $65.47 per barrel, 2.51% or $1.60 higher on the day.
Additional reporting by Karen Brettell and Sinead Carew, Wayne Cole in Sydney and Amanda Cooper in London; Editing by Sharon Singleton, Rod Nickel, Nick Zieminski and Daniel Wallis
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