Uncategorized

Will Macy’s (M) Earnings Resilience and Major Buyback Amid Softer Sales Change Its Narrative?

  • In March 2026, Macy’s reported fourth-quarter revenue of US$7,916 million and net income of US$507 million, alongside full-year 2025 revenue of US$22,621 million and net income of US$642 million, while also issuing 2026 net sales guidance of US$21.40 billion to US$21.65 billion.

  • Despite slightly lower year-over-year sales, Macy’s grew earnings per share and completed a multi-year buyback totaling 43,158,000 shares, or 15.22% of its share count, signaling a continued commitment to shareholder returns.

  • Next, we’ll examine how Macy’s higher earnings despite softer sales and its completed buyback program influence the existing investment narrative.

This technology could replace computers: discover 22 stocks that are working to make quantum computing a reality.

To own Macy’s today, you need to believe its omnichannel and store optimization efforts can offset structurally softer sales and intense margin pressure. The latest results, with higher earnings on lower revenue and 2026 sales guidance of US$21.40 billion to US$21.65 billion, support a thesis focused on efficiency and capital returns, but they do not materially change the near term risk that tariffs, freight costs, and weak discretionary demand could squeeze margins further.

The completion of Macy’s multi year buyback, retiring 43,158,000 shares or 15.22% of the share count for US$876.2 million, is especially relevant here. It helps explain how earnings per share rose despite revenue slipping, and it ties directly into analyst expectations that share count could continue to trend lower, which is an important part of the current catalyst story around potential earnings per share growth even if total revenue remains under pressure.

Yet beneath the stronger earnings headline, investors should be aware that…

Read the full narrative on Macy’s (it’s free!)

Macy’s narrative projects $18.5 billion revenue and $663.0 million earnings by 2028. This implies a 6.5% yearly revenue decline but an earnings increase of about $169 million from $494.0 million today.

Uncover how Macy’s forecasts yield a $21.80 fair value, a 22% upside to its current price.

M 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Some of the lowest analysts were assuming Macy’s revenue could fall to about US$17.4 billion by 2028 and still saw higher earnings of roughly US$743 million, which is far more pessimistic on the top line than the recent guidance and highlights just how differently you and other investors might weigh the risk that heavy fixed costs and an aging customer base continue to pressure margins even after this latest earnings beat.

Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Macy’s – why the stock might be worth as much as 98% more than the current price!

Don’t just follow the ticker – dig into the data and build a conviction that’s truly your own.

Don’t miss your shot at the next 10-bagger. Our latest stock picks just dropped:

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include M.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

Source link

Visited 1 times, 1 visit(s) today

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *