This is the worst the jobs market has looked (outside of a recession) in 50 years, says Goldman Sachs, meaning bullish GDP estimates are too optimistic

This is the worst the jobs market has looked (outside of a recession) in 50 years, says Goldman Sachs, meaning bullish GDP estimates are too optimistic

Goldman Sachs’ Jan Hatzius warned that U.S. GDP estimates showing 3.8% growth in Q2 and 3.3% in Q3 may be overstated, due to missing data from the government shutdown and weakening labor trends. He pointed to falling employment indicators and survey data signaling stagnation, arguing job market weakness offers a more accurate gauge of current…

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Trump's China cooking oil threat cut $450B from market in minutes, watcher says — keep politics from frying your stocks

Trump’s China cooking oil threat cut $450B from market in minutes, watcher says — keep politics from frying your stocks

Markets took a late-day gut punch on Oct. 14 after President Donald Trump took to Truth Social and threatened to terminate business with China “having to do with cooking oil” among other “elements of trade” in response to China slashing imports of U.S. soybeans in recent months. (1) The social media post sent ripples across…

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The A.I. Boom and the Spectre of 1929

The A.I. Boom and the Spectre of 1929

No two speculative booms are exactly alike, of course, but they share some common elements. Typically, there is great excitement among investors about new technology—in today’s case, A.I.—and its potential to boost profits for companies positioned to take advantage of it. In the twenties, commercial radio was a novel and revolutionary medium: tens of millions…

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Andrew Ross Sorkin on worrying similarities between Wall Street today and 1929's pre-crash market

Andrew Ross Sorkin on worrying similarities between Wall Street today and 1929’s pre-crash market

After nearly a decade spent studying the most famous stock market crash in history, financial journalist Andrew Ross Sorkin warns that the Wall Street of today echoes the market of 1929, when highs preceded a massive slump, leading to the Great Depression. Artificial intelligence and technology have contributed to a remarkable boom in recent years….

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