Over the past few years, we’ve highlighted the risk of a slowdown in consumer spending as the post-pandemic surge — where consumers were flush with cash — has given way to depleted savings and rising debt levels to sustain spending. Recent data over the past four months shows a noticeable shift in consumer sentiment, with…
Traders’ most widely cited measure of fear is currently pointing to cause for confidence, according to Wall Street veteran Nick Colas. The Cboe Volatility Index , an options-based measure of expected market gyrations, has drifted below its long-term average after previously spiking, which Colas said in his overnight market note Monday is often an attractive…
Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson sees a meaningful rotation back into U.S. stocks, and he sees one beaten-up group as a winner. “It started out with a low-quality rally, which is what we expect – meaning a short squeeze,” the firm’s chief investment officer told CNBC’s “Fast Money” on Monday. “Then, what we noticed is the…
Though there are important differences in the economic picture and market structure, investor Tom Lee thinks stocks could react similarly to tariffs this time as they did in 2018. In fact, Lee sees the contrasts between now and then as an even more advantageous backdrop for equity markets. “The combination of accommodative monetary policy and…
The Cboe Volatility Index (known as the “VIX”) measures the market’s expectation of volatility over the next 30 days as implied by a weighted strip of S & P 500 Index options. When investors are nervous, options premiums, and therefore the VIX tends to spike, reflecting heightened uncertainty. A very high reading often signals panic…
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in the Financial District in New York City on March 4, 2025. Timothy A. Clary | Afp | Getty Images A growth scare in the economy has accompanied worries over a resurgence in inflation, in turn potentially rekindling an ugly condition that the…
CBOE Global Markets’ Mandy Xu warns the stock market is underpricing tariff risks — even after Monday’s sharp sell-off. Xu contends the bond market has been more sensitive to economic uncertainty than stocks over the past few months. But now, that gap may be starting to close. “There’s scope for it [volatility] to go even…
Published: March 3, 2025 at 12:50 p.m. ET Options traders are bracing for a looming stock-market crash, the latest data from Cboe Global Markets show. A dispatch from Cboe Global Markets’ Mandy Xu, shared with MarketWatch on Monday, revealed that demand for deep out-of-the-money call options tied to the Cboe Volatility Index VIX — otherwise known…
The stock market is rather calm but can’t seem to relax. In a noisy and fast-shifting news environment, stocks were quietly flattish last week from point to point, even after Friday’s almost 1% drop, which extends a sideways three-month range during which the S & P 500 has traded no more than 3% above or…
Justin Sullivan | Getty Images This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here. What you need to know today $600 billion plunge in Nvidia Nvidia…