Stocks Bounce Back as Testing Month Gets Underway: Markets Wrap

Stocks Bounce Back as Testing Month Gets Underway: Markets Wrap

(Bloomberg) — Stocks staged a modest rebound from a technology-led selloff, setting a steadier tone at the outset of a month that could bring plenty of tests to markets trading near record highs.

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Europe’s Stoxx 600 (^STOXX) advanced 0.2%. BAE Systems Plc (BA.L, BAESY) and Rheinmetall AG (RNMBY, RHM.DE) led gains in defense shares after the Financial Times reported that Europe is working on detailed plans for potential post-conflict deployments in Ukraine. A regional gauge for tech stocks held steady.

Asian equities were mixed, with a 19% surge in Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (BABA, 9988.HK) contrasting with a slump in chipmaking shares. S&P 500 (ES=F) and Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) futures edged 0.1% higher, with cash trading in US stocks and Treasuries closed for the Labor Day holiday. The dollar was little changed.

In commodity markets, silver (SI=F) rose above $40 an ounce for the first time since 2011. Gold (GC=F) inched closer to an all-time high as optimism grew for an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve this month.

Wall Street’s rally to all-time highs faces a crucial stretch, with jobs numbers, inflation data and the Fed’s rate call all landing within the next three weeks. The flurry of events will help determine whether stocks can extend gains or lose momentum as traders navigate what is historically the weakest month of the year for US markets.

Tariff tensions and questions over the Fed’s independence are compounding the risks.

“The bar to derail a Fed Rate cut on Sept. 17 appears high,” Deutsche Bank AG economist Peter Sidorov wrote. “But with Fed funds futures now pricing over 140 basis points of easing by the end of 2026, markets are expecting an amount of easing that since the 1980s has only occurred around recessions.”

European bonds weakened broadly, with a week to go before a confidence vote that could topple France’s government and deliver another setback to efforts to rein in the euro area’s biggest deficit. The French-German 10-year spread, a key measure of risk, was little changed at 78 basis points. The gauge closed at 82 on Aug. 27, the highest since January.

“I wouldn’t be surprised to see the spread between Germany and France test 100 basis points,” said Alexandre Baradez, chief market analyst at IG in Paris. “This could encourage further profit selling in European banking stocks, moreover since the European Central Bank seems to be on pause when it comes to rate cuts.”

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