It’s only the locals. It’s one by-election. It’s happened before, you know. Remember the SDP?
Remember the 2019 European parliament election? I think you’ll find that Nigel Farage won 22 per cent of the vote when these seats were up for election in 2013. Governments always lose councillors at their first local elections. Even Tony Blair did! Anyway, it’ll all collapse on contact with reality anyway, just like Ukip in Thanet or the Greens in Brighton. The voters will come back. They always do.
Those are the consoling theories advanced by Labour and the Tories today, as the grim reality of the local elections and Runcorn by-election materialises at the lowest end of their expectations. And, as it happens, they are not all wrong. The