Liverpool vs. Tottenham Prediction, Pick, Premier League Odds 12/20

Liverpool vs. Tottenham Picks, Parlay

Leg 1: Both Teams to Score
Leg 2: Over 2.5 Goals

This Premier League matchup is the highest-scoring in the competition’s history, with 206 total goals. Recent history only amplifies that trend: the last three league meetings have produced an incredible 21 goals, an average of seven per game. Furthermore, 14 of the last 16 league encounters between these two sides have seen at least three goals.

Tottenham’s struggles this season are well-documented, particularly at home. They have lost 10 home league matches in 2025, the most in a single calendar year for the club since 2003. Their attacking metrics are also a major concern. Only three Premier League teams have generated a lower expected goals (xG) figure than Tottenham’s 15.29, and the club ranks in the bottom four for total shots, a clear indication of difficulties in creating consistent attacking pressure under Thomas Frank.

Liverpool, meanwhile, arrives with its own issues, most notably inconsistent away form, having suffered more losses than wins on the road this season. However, Arne Slot appears to have found a more stable defensive structure recently, with the team recording back-to-back clean sheets. Despite that improved solidity, the history of this fixture still points toward goals.

Liverpool’s attack has adapted well to a narrower setup, and the Reds scored a combined 11 goals against Spurs across their two league meetings last season. That history offers reason for optimism heading into this clash. Given the long-term trends and Tottenham’s defensive vulnerabilities, backing goals at both ends looks like the most logical Liverpool vs. Tottenham pick.

Liverpool vs. Tottenham Projections

Projected Chance of Winning

Projected Total Goals

Liverpool vs. Tottenham Betting Analysis

Liverpool sits four points above Tottenham in the standings, and a victory here would confirm a significant turnaround in form. Manager Arne Slot’s tactical adjustments — particularly his decision to trust striker Hugo Ekitike — have paid dividends. Ekitike has been a key factor in recent league matches and should find space against a Tottenham defense that looked completely disorganized in a 3–0 loss to Nottingham Forest.

Tottenham manager Thomas Frank, meanwhile, has faced criticism for a conservative approach. His side’s territorial dominance metrics place them firmly in the middle of the league, and confidence appears to be low. The contrast between the two attacks is stark: Liverpool averages the second-most shots per game in the Premier League, while Spurs rank among the bottom four in attempts. That disparity suggests Tottenham’s goalkeeper could be the busier of the two.

The head-to-head record also heavily favors Liverpool. Since 1992, Tottenham has won just 25.7% of the 74 meetings between the clubs. More recently, Spurs have managed only one win in their last 15 league encounters, suffering 11 defeats. The last five meetings have produced 26 goals — an average of 5.2 per match — further reinforcing the expectation of an attack-heavy contest.

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