A multi-nation survey published last week found a significant decline in the proportion of Ukrainians who believe they can beat Russia’s invasion. Small wonder. For Kyiv, 2024 was a nightmare, created in large part by a collapse of the early war’s winning formula: the matching of Ukrainian motivated manpower to sophisticated Western arsenals.
So does that mean Donald Trump — inaugurated as US President on Monday and fresh from his initial success in securing a Gaza ceasefire — will be pushing at an open door in Ukraine? Absolutely not, at least not on terms the Kremlin is currently willing to consider. That wouldn’t be a peace deal, which Ukrainians want, but capitulation, which they don’t.
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