Why NASA keeps changing the probability of an asteroid impacting Earth in 2032
On Feb. 18, 2025, NASA updated the probability of asteroid “2024 YR4” impacting Earth on Dec. 22, 2032, from 2.6% to 3.1%. The European Space Agency (ESA) also updated its estimate of the probability of Earth impact to 2.8%, adding that for an asteroid of its size, it “now holds the record for the highest…
