Topline
Nvidia headed toward a dubious Wall Street record Monday, as the stock at the forefront of the U.S.-led artificial intelligence revolution got a scare from DeepSeek, the Chinese AI company which developed a ChatGPT rival at a fraction of the reported cost of its American peers.
Nvidia stock had a historically bad Monday.
Key Facts
Shares of Nvidia plunged 15% by 11:15 a.m. EST, heading toward its worst daily percentage loss since March 2020, when stocks briefly crashed at the start of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Nvidia lost about $520 billion in market capitalization Monday, which would be by far the single greatest one-day value wipeout of any company in history, exceeding the $279 billion market cap lost by none other than Nvidia on Sept. 3, 2024 (Meta’s $251 billion loss Feb. 3, 2022 is the third-biggest daily loss).
The slide knocked Nvidia from its position as the world’s most valuable company, sending its valuation from $3.5 trillion to $2.98 trillion, less than Apple’s and Microsoft’s.
Nvidia headlined broader U.S. stock losses, as the benchmark S&P 500 fell 1.7% and the tech-concentrated Nasdaq dropped 2.9%, and other major AI technology providers including fellow chip designers Arm and Broadcom plus data storer Oracle all tanked at least 9%.
Why Nvidia Stock Fell
The release of DeepSeek’s large-language model, which shook confidence in U.S. dominance in generative AI, may initially not seem like a negative catalyst for Nvidia, considering DeepSeek’s model was trained on Nvidia’s graphics processing units (GPUs), like most other advanced AI programs. But the Chinese company said it spent just $5.6 million on Nvidia technology to develop its large-language model, and though experts speculate this is a gross underestimate, it still upsets the core thesis behind Nvidia stock’s meteoric rise. Nvidia’s net profits soared from $4.8 billion in 2022 to an estimated $66.7 billion in 2024 thanks in large part to demand for its GPUs, which fetch up to $25,000 apiece, from American tech giants like Facebook parent Meta, Tesla and ChatGPT maker OpenAI. If big U.S. tech companies “can learn from DeepSeek to design AI systems with cheaper GPUs…it might not be a happy development for Nvidia,” remarked Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research in a note to clients.
Surprising Fact
Nvidia’s more than $500 billion market cap loss Monday is larger than the individual market values of all but 13 American companies, more than the market cap of titans like health insurer UnitedHealth, oil giant Exxon Mobil and retailer Costco.
Forbes Valuation
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang got $17 billion poorer Monday, as his net worth fell from $124.4 billion to $107.5 billion, according to Forbes estimates. Huang is Nvidia’s largest individual shareholder with a 3% stake in the Silicon Valley firm.
