Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Market bounce: Stocks made a strong comeback from their initial premarket lows. There are three key developments behind Friday’s rally. You had a deeply oversold S & P 500 Short Range Oscillator , which showed there was a heavy amount of selling pressure in the market. We provided some historical context around a minus 8% Oscillator early Friday — noting it’s usually been a good time to buy with a 30-day view. It’s rare to see the Oscillator this oversold, explaining why we held our nose and made several buys over the past two sessions . In general, a market this oversold means there’s plenty of tinder for a rally and any bit of good news will provide the spark. We got that spark before Friday’s open when the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve’s favorite inflation gauge, came in slightly cooler than expected in November. The data jump-started a big bond price rally, meaning yields fell. Surging Treasury yields have recently been an enemy of stocks. The stock market bounce kicked into high gear after Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee was interviewed on CNBC. He’s been a thought leader in the Fed and is a voting member in 2025, so the market listened to his words carefully. While acknowledging he’s on the “shallower” side of interest rate cuts in 2025, Goolsbee said that if the conditions over the last 18 months continue over the next 12 to 18 months, then “rates come down a fair bit more.” There’s still plenty of uncertainty about what the Fed will do next year, but Goolsbee’s comments eased immediate fears of an extremely adversarial Fed. Wild week : The rally on Wall Street looks like it won’t nearly be enough to pull the Dow , the S & P 500 , or the Nasdaq out of the red for the week. Wednesday’s plunge on the Fed’s so-called hawkish rate cut was too much to overcome. While the market got its third rate cut in as many central bank meetings, it was the Fed’s projected path forward for fewer rate cuts than investors had been expecting that crushed the market that day. Stocks were little changed on Thursday, so Friday’s gains broke a three-day losing streak in the S & P 500. Up next: There are very few market events — no major earning reports, analyst meetings, or shareholder meetings. Economic data is pretty light, too. But still, there are reports on consumer confidence, durable goods orders, new home sales, and weekly initial jobless claims to contend with. The stock market has a half-day on Tuesday, and it’s closed Wednesday on Christmas Day . The severely oversold market this week will likely remain tilted in that direction at Friday’s close despite the strong session. (See here for a full list of the stocks in Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust’s portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. NO SPECIFIC OUTCOME OR PROFIT IS GUARANTEED.
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street.
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