A Fresh Look at MicroStrategy (MSTR) Valuation Following Recent Share Price Volatility

Why Serviceware SE (ETR:SJJ) Could Be Worth Watching

Strategy (MSTR) has been in the spotlight recently because of broader shifts in the software sector and evolving market sentiment. Investors are watching closely to see how the stock navigates these developments.

See our latest analysis for Strategy.

Strategy’s share price has pulled back recently, sliding over 15% in the past month and down 33% over the past three months. Even with this near-term loss of momentum, the 1-year total shareholder return stands at nearly 47%, and long-term holders have seen extraordinary gains. This reminds investors that volatility often coincides with big-picture growth potential.

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The question now is whether Strategy’s current weakness means the market is underestimating its future potential, or if its impressive long-term gains already reflect all the upside ahead. Is there real value left for new investors?

With the last close at $283.84 and a narrative fair value pegged at $663, the gap between price and conviction is dramatic. According to BlackGoat, there is a bold blueprint behind this upside.

My base case fair value of $663 per share remains unchanged, based on partial execution of the 42 42 Plan and continued Bitcoin appreciation. After the current consolidation resolves and selling pressure from early holders abates, I expect Bitcoin to resume its long-term upward trend.

Read the complete narrative.

So what is the engine driving this eye-popping target? The answer lies in audacious capital plans, a shift in earnings power, and valuation methods that break old-school rules. Want to see how aggressive growth levers and expectations for Bitcoin’s trajectory could push Strategy’s value skyward? Dive into the narrative for the surprising numbers and revealing logic that power this valuation.

Result: Fair Value of $663 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.

However, prolonged Bitcoin price stagnation or shifting regulatory policy could quickly undermine the bullish case and reset investor expectations for Strategy’s future trajectory.

Find out about the key risks to this Strategy narrative.

If you see things differently or want to dig into the details on your own terms, you can easily craft your own view in just minutes. Do it your way

A great starting point for your Strategy research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include MSTR.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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